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Taking Taiwan would be a dangerous gamble for China’s economy | The Dip Podcast

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Taking Taiwan would be a dangerous gamble for China’s economy | The Dip Podcast
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Could China take Taiwan and still lose? A conflict could put Beijing’s own trade, investment and access to technology at risk and send the disruption far beyond Asia.

DW speaks to Charlie Vest of Rhodium Group and Kristy Hsu of the Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research, who advises Taiwan’s government on trade policy. They examine the economic price China could face, Taiwan’s efforts to strengthen its resilience, and the global dependence on its chips. They also explore the pressure Beijing could apply without launching a full invasion, and whether economic costs can deter conflict.

Chapters:
0:00 Could China take Taiwan and still lose?
1:33 The relationship between China and Taiwan
2:35 Military pressure and economic coercion
3:48 Why Beijing wants Taiwan
5:58 The options short of invasion
8:29 What conflict could cost China’s economy
13:34 Would the US defend Taiwan?
15:34 Reducing Taiwan’s dependence on China
16:55 Defence costs and Taiwan’s chip industry
19:19 How disruption would spread around the globe
21:05 Grey zones and the limits of US support
23:52 Can economic costs deter China?
25:32 The risks of a failed invasion
26:33 What could keep the peace?

#China #Taiwan #XiJinping #DWbusiness #DWdip

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